19 December 2024

From now on our troubles will be out of sight

I don't care if he's doing it for the wrong reason. If Trump gets rid of the debt ceiling, it will be good, because, as Dday says, "The Debt Limit Should Absolutely Be Eliminated: Trump is offering the deal of a lifetime. We've gotten a preview of the next four years in the space of a few hours on Wednesday. Elon Musk provided the shock troops to topple an end-of-year spending deal, and Donald Trump provided the final blow. To say the commotion was based on rumor and myth would be an insult to rumor and myth; even now, Trump is calling for a 'clean' funding bill while keeping the $100 billion in disaster funding and $30 billion for farmers, which comprises virtually all of the additions from a monetary standpoint. But Trump also added an entirely new demand: take the debt limit off the table, rather than forcing him to deal with it next year. And he doesn't just want the debt limit raised; he explicitly wants it eliminated. 'The Democrats have said they want to get rid of it. If they want to get rid of it, I would lead the charge,' Trump told NBC News. Let's not overthink this. Regardless of who suggested it, any day we can say goodbye to the stupidest element of our political structure is a good day."

The suspected assassin of the United CEO, turned into a folk hero instantly, appears to be someone called Luigi Mangione from Maryland, and he even had a sort of "manifesto" handy. Or what some people would term a "note". The major media has copies but for some unexplained reason have refused to publish it. So Ken Klippenstein got hold of it and posted it on Substack. "To the Feds, I'll keep this short, because I do respect what you do for our country. To save you a lengthy investigation, I state plainly that I wasn't working with anyone. This was fairly trivial: some elementary social engineering, basic CAD, a lot of patience. The spiral notebook, if present, has some straggling notes and To Do lists that illuminate the gist of it. My tech is pretty locked down because I work in engineering so probably not much info there. I do apologize for any strife of traumas but it had to be done. Frankly, these parasites simply had it coming. A reminder: the US has the #1 most expensive healthcare system in the world, yet we rank roughly #42 in life expectancy. United is the [indecipherable] largest company in the US by market cap, behind only Apple, Google, Walmart. It has grown and grown, but as our life expectancy? No the reality is, these [indecipherable] have simply gotten too powerful, and they continue to abuse our country for immense profit because the American public has allwed them to get away with it. Obviously the problem is more complex, but I do not have space, and frankly I do not pretend to be the most qualified person to lay out the full argument. But many have illuminated the corruption and greed (e.g.: Rosenthal, Moore), decades ago and the problems simply remain. It is not an issue of awareness at this point, but clearly power games at play. Evidently I am the first to face it with such brutal honesty." The Unibomber's manifesto was much longer and the WaPo and NYT had no trouble publishing that. They don't want to use photos that show his face, either. (Thomas Neuberger thinks he knows why.)

"Supreme court agrees to hear TikTok challenge to law ending its US operations: The US supreme court said on Wednesday that it would hear TikTok's challenge to a law that could make the company's popular video app disappear from the US. In its order on Wednesday, the supreme court said it would set aside two hours for oral arguments on 10 January to consider TikTok's lawsuit against the justice department and the attorney general, Merrick Garland. TikTok issued a statement in response to the court agreeing to take up its case: 'We're pleased with today's supreme court order. We believe the court will find the TikTok ban unconstitutional so the over 170 million Americans on our platform can continue to exercise their free speech rights.' The law that will either ban TikTok or force the sale of the app is set to go into effect on 19 January. A federal appeals court in Washington DC rejected ByteDance's argument earlier this month that the law violated the free speech provision of the US constitution's first amendment. The ruling allows the law, passed in April, to remain in place."

There's a lot of mush going around that purports to explain that it's not the insurance companies' fault, but Matt Stoller puts it right, "It's Time to Break Up Big Medicine: UnitedHealth Group is not an insurer, it's a platform. And it's in the crosshairs as Elizabeth Warren and Josh Hawley propose breaking it apart, severing its pharmacy arm from the rest of the business [...] These kinds of discussions are always done in bad faith, since people who make a lot of money from killing people with spreadsheets like to pretend to be very offended when anyone points out health care is a matter of life and death. That said, moral hypocrisy isn't the primary reason our health care system is so problematic. A more important objection to reform is from a certain dominant strain of thinking among economists and health care wonks, who question whether the health insurers are really that bad. [...] It turns out the reason health care costs kept going up despite the reforms meant to reverse the trendline is because policymakers misdiagnosed the underlying problem. The Dartmouth work was just wrong on overuse of medicine. Higher medical costs in America were result of, you guessed it, monopoly power."

"Coalition of Missouri businesses attempting to override new minimum wage, paid sick leave laws: Almost immediately after voters in Missouri signed onto Proposition A, a referendum that would state-wide increase of the minimum wage and mandatory paid sick leave, a collection of business associations announced they would explore ways to subvert the November results. The coalition is crying election fraud despite an overwhelming 58% of voters approving the measure."

I wasn't bothered when Biden pardoned his son, because, let's face it, he never would have been charged in the first place if he hadn't been a Democratic president's son. But this really does go beyond the pale: "Victims of 'kids-for-cash' judge outraged by Biden pardon: 'What about all of us?' Victims of a former Pennsylvania judge convicted in the so-called kids-for-cash scandal are outraged by Joe Biden's decision to grant him clemency. In 2011, Michael Conahan was sentenced to more than 17 years in prison after he and another judge, Mark Ciavarella, were found guilty of accepting $2.8m in illegal payments in exchange for sending more than 2,300 children – including some as young as eight years old – to private juvenile detention centers. Conahan was released from prison in 2020 due to Covid-19 and placed on house arrest, which had been scheduled to end in 2026. Conahan's sentence was one of about 1,500 the US president commuted – or shortened – on Thursday while also pardoning 39 Americans who had been convicted of non-violent crimes." I actually find it hard to see that as a non-violent crime.

Robert Kuttner at The American Prospect says it's looking good, "The Face of the Democratic Party: The next DNC chair will have a higher profile than usual. The two leading candidates, Ken Martin of Minnesota and Ben Wikler of Wisconsin, are both terrific. It's hard to think of a time when the Democratic Party was more bereft of real leaders. As the losing presidential candidate, Kamala Harris is not held in warm regard, and her continuing fundraising efforts have added to the irritation. Joe Biden, who accomplished more than his critics give him credit for, is going out on a low note. Usually, the chair of the Democratic National Committee is a technocrat and not the face of the party. But this time could be different. A number of names have been mentioned in the press coverage and in self-promotion, but it's clear that the two finalists will be Ken Martin, 51, Minnesota party chair, and his neighbor, Ben Wikler, 43, who chairs the Wisconsin state party. Both are excellent party-builders, both are substantive progressives, and both have earned wide respect. The election is set for February 1." On the other hand, One other party leadership post is open, and here the news is terrible. Michigan Sen. Gary Peters is stepping down as chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), the fundraising arm of the Senate Democratic caucus. The only declared candidate for the job is New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. Gillibrand, in contrast to Martin and Wikler, represents all that is corrupt and opportunistic in the Democratic Party. She is very close to the crypto industry, which dumped scads of dark money into late campaign ads to defeat progressives such as Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Gillibrand also is widely loathed for leading the campaign to hound Sen. Al Franken out of office on charges of sexual harassment. Gillibrand will get the job mainly because nobody else wants it."

On the other hand, the Free Speech Warriors are still remarkably silent on "The Coming Threats to Press Freedom: Watch out for massive libel suits, efforts to repeal Times v. Sullivan, and an attempt to create an official secrets act—as Trump and MAGA flood the First Amendment zone. As the house optimist, I keep finding intact democratic guardrails and weaknesses in Trump's attempt to impose a dictatorship. But this is the one that really keeps me up at night. Traditional press freedom is already at risk because of the travesty of what so much of the media has become. It's not clear what sort of First Amendment protections the shabbier forms of social media even deserve. But with the second coming of Trump, it's the mainstream fact-based media that's in the crosshairs. What's gotten the most attention lately are Trump's own threats to sue for libel and a few actual suits. These are mostly outlandish, but sufficiently serious to have caused legacy media to pay protection money."

Krugman leaves The New York Times and starts his own Substack, Krugman wonks out, which is currently free to read. "The Fraudulence of 'Waste, Fraud and Abuse': Once upon a time a Republican president, sure that large parts of federal spending were worthless, appointed a commission led by a wealthy businessman to bring a business sensibility to the budget, going through it line by line to identify inefficiency and waste. The commission initially made a big splash, and there were desperate attempts to spin its work as a success. But in the end few people were fooled. Ronald Reagan's venture, the President's Private Sector Survey on Cost Control — the so-called 'Grace commission,' headed by J. Peter Grace — was a flop, making no visible dent in spending." I wonder if we'll see any change from Krugman now that he doesn't have a boss.

"The Far-right Activist Who Sparked an Imaginary Pogrom in Stockholm [...] The online news site Mako reported that Jews were attacked 'in Stockholm, the capital of Sweden, during a ceremony commemorating the Kristallnacht pogrom.' It said anti-Israel demonstrators yelled derogatory names at the ceremony's participants, snatched their Israeli flags, tore them up and threw them into the river. [...] In the real world, what happened in Stockholm is indeed troubling, but for different reasons. First, no ceremony commemorating Kristallnacht took place there. Second, no Jews were attacked. Third, this false information was disseminated by people who counted on the media to spread the lie, thereby providing them with free political propaganda. And they were right. The Swedish media refused to buy the goods, but the Israeli media sure did (I might add, for the benefit of Mako's investigative reporters, that Stockholm doesn't have a river)."

Also from Haaretz, "It's Time for Israel to Grant the Black Hebrew Israelite Community the Full Rights It Deserves: The Hebrew Israelite community marked an unfortunate milestone last week, when it lost its first member in combat, Elishai Young, a 19-year-old conscript from Dimona. He was buried last Monday. Some at the funeral expressed the irony that while Elishai was born in Israel and died defending the country, he was not eligible to be an Israeli citizen. That's because Hebrew Israelis are still engaged in a struggle for full recognition that began with the first arrivals in 1969."

"Eviction and Voter Turnout: The Political Consequences of Housing Instability: In recent years, housing costs have outpaced incomes in the United States, resulting in millions of eviction filings each year. Yet no study has examined the link between eviction and voting. Drawing on a novel data set that combines tens of millions of eviction and voting records, this article finds that residential eviction rates negatively impacted voter turnout during the 2016 presidential election. Results from a generalized additive model show eviction's effect on voter turnout to be strongest in neighborhoods with relatively low rates of displacement. To address endogeneity bias and estimate the causal effect of eviction on voting, the analysis treats commercial evictions as an instrument for residential evictions, finding that increases in neighborhood eviction rates led to substantial declines in voter turnout. This study demonstrates that the impact of eviction reverberates far beyond housing loss, affecting democratic participation."

More Perfect Union's survey on "Taking on Corporate Power" sure seems to indicate that Americans want to see corporate power reduced.

"Police are not primarily crime fighters, according to the data: (Reuters) - A new report adds to a growing line of research showing that police departments don't solve serious or violent crimes with any regularity, and in fact, spend very little time on crime control, in contrast to popular narratives."

"There's Nothing More Corrupting Than Flying Private: Want to understand the motives of our mercenary elite? Take a trip on a private plane, writes Tina Brown."

Speaking of corruption, there are now 11 episodes of Master Plan and you really shouldn't miss this historical rollercoaster ride through the plot for the rich mob to take over the country.

An artist I recently noticed, Richard Savoie (Canadian, 1959), might be fun to investigate, although I wish his own website had a more comprehensive gallery display.

I ran into this YouTube economist called Unlearning Economics because Nathan Robinson interviewed him about his video "Thomas Sowell Is Worse Than I thought," which sounded pretty irresistible so I watched it, and now I'm watching "Free Stuff Is Good, Actually."

A couple of decades back I posted a clip of one of my favorite scenes from the original film of Bedazzled, but it was during that period when the remake was in release so they got YouTube to take it down. But later on, someone else posted it, so enjoy a few minutes of Peter Cook (as the Devil, aka George Spigot) explaining to Dudley Moore (a burger-flipper) why he got kicked out of Heaven.

I'm not sure whether I approve of this version, but "Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas," with John Legend and Esperanza Spalding.

09 December 2024

That is their song

Sorry I missed Advent, but your traditional Advent music is yet another version of "Carol of the Bells". Celebrate the season in warmth and light.

The last few days have seen a flurry of international events that I haven't really been able to process yet. Assad is out of Syria, apparently to be replaced by an Al Quaeda leader once declared a terrorist enemy by the United States—but some say the US is responsible for what was not a natural, organic "revolution". For many, this is just a part of Israel's expansionist policies. Bashar al Assad is reported now to be taking refuge in Moscow.

South Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law for no apparent reason, but it was over by morning. Some say that was thanks to the call of strikes from unions, but in any case the parliament managed to get inside to reverse him. Although that vote had cross-party support, the calls for impeachment did not and so far he has managed to avoid it, although everyone outside of his own party seems to be demanding impeachment or resignation. Much of the world was surprised to find out just how unpopular this guy is.

Meanwhile in France, Macron's antidemocratic decision to put a right-wing "centrist" in the prime ministership to defeat the left seems to have backfired, and now he's left with the choice of continuing his arrogance or doing what he should have done in the first place: "A more durable, and ethical, solution would be for Mr Macron to finally demonstrate the humility he should have shown after the chastening outcome of his summer gamble. The July snap poll was narrowly, but indubitably, won by the New Popular Front (NPF) – a leftwing alliance including the Socialist party and Jean-Luc Mélenchon's France Unbowed. Fearing that an NPF-led government would attempt to reverse parts of his legacy, including deeply unpopular plans to raise the retirement age, Mr Macron found reasons not to appoint a prime minister from the broad left." People are holding their breath to see if he will finally do it.

Back in the New York, the CEO of America's most rapacious health insurers was assasinated, and the lack of opprobrium from the public seems to be the real story here. "Brian Thompson's killing inspired rage – against the healthcare industry: The killing appeared so well-planned that at first glance many assumed it was a professional hit. The gunman who shot dead Brian Thompson, head of one of the US's largest health insurance companies, on a New York street before dawn lay in wait with a weapon fitted with a silencer, kept his cool as his gun jammed and made a nimble escape after ensuring that his victim had been fatally struck. However, within hours, an intense police manhunt turned up a trail of clues and possible mistakes, suggesting that while the killer had taken care to cover his tracks, he also made amateurish missteps that may yet lead to his identification and capture. But millions of Americans were less interested in the mechanics of what New York's new police commissioner, Jessica Tisch, called “a premeditated, pre-planned, targeted attack” than the possible motive. Despite the fact the killer's motive remains completely unknown, the death of UnitedHealthcare's CEO unleashed an eruption of anger from people mistreated, or untreated, by the US's rapacious medical industry and even a grim schadenfreude from some at Thompson's death."

"US House passes bill to punish non-profits deemed to support 'terrorism'." Well, we knew this was going to happen, but I still haven't seen the Free Speech Warriors speaking out against it.

Two unfortunate facts: One is that Bill Clinton signed some odious Republican legislation into law, and one of them allows the next president to overturn rules made in the last 60 days of his predecessor's term. The other is that Joe Biden did some rule-making in the last 60 days of his term that he really should have gotten to earlier. "The Biden Reforms That Will Be First To Go: Thanks to Republican deregulatory frenzy and Democratic gambles, many key consumer-protection initiatives could soon be wiped away. [...] The CRA's 'lookback period' only allows the law to be used to rescind rules established in the last 60 working 'pro forma' days of a lawmaking session and the subsequent remaining days of a president's term. Goldbeck said that the exact date is 'kind of a moving target,' but most experts agree that once Trump assumes office on Jan. 20, 2025, the CRA could be used to revoke any rules passed after Aug. 1, 2024."

"The War on Consortium News: From PayPal to Global News to anonymous hackers, there are forces that prefer you don't read Consortium News. In an age of growing censorship and suppression of news, Consortium News is not exaggerating when it says it has abundant evidence of efforts to marginalize or silence us."

Good news from Wisconsin! "Act 10 Overturned." This is Scott Walker's anti-union legislation from back in 2003. Everyone was horrified, but it has taken this long to get it to court, and the court said Act 10 didn't pass muster.

Stiglitz in the Guardian, "The message to Democrats is clear: you must dump neoliberal economics: As the shock of Donald Trump's victory sinks in, pundits and politicians are mulling what it means for the future of the US and global politics. Understanding why such a divisive, unqualified figure won again is crucial for the Democrats. Did they go too far left and lose the moderate Americans who make up a majority? Or did centrist neoliberalism – pursued by Democratic presidents since Bill Clinton – fail to deliver, thus creating a demand for change? To me, the answer is clear: 40 years of neoliberalism have left the US with unprecedented inequality, stagnation in the middle of the income spectrum (and worse for those below), and declining average life expectancy (highlighted by mounting “deaths of despair”). The American Dream is being killed, and although President Joe Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris distanced themselves from neoliberalism with their embrace of industrial policies, as representatives of the mainstream establishment, they remained associated with its legacy."

With handy stats and graphs: "Analysis: Kamala Harris Turned Away From Economic Populism: Pressed by influential corporate advisors, Kamala Harris ran away from a winning economic populist message and ended up losing a campaign. We have the proof. [...] The vice president's bid was premised on the risky bet that catering to moderate, college-educated voters would win more support than it would lose in working-class defections. That gamble backfired massively. Instead of expanding the Democratic coalition to bring in a larger share of the working-class vote in critical swing states where working-class voters make up a large majority of the electorate, Kamala Harris saw her only gains among college-educated white voters, and for the first time, Democrats received a higher share of votes from high- compared to low-income Americans. [...] Over the course of the whole campaign, Harris spoke less about economic issues and progressive economic policy priorities than Joe Biden had in 2020, and far less than Sanders had in the Democratic primaries that year. In this cycle, Trump addressed perhaps the most important issue for voters — prices and the cost of living — more than twice as often as Harris. "

RIP: Alice Brock - "The real Alice of Arlo Guthrie's 'Alice's Restaurant' dies at 83: The hippie-era icon who inspired folk singer Arlo Guthrie's epic, anti-establishment song “Alice's Restaurant” has died. Alice Brock suffered from health issues, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and passed away at a hospice home in Wellfleet on Thursday. She was 83. Brock's longtime close friend Viki Merrick was with her when she died. Merrick said up until the end Brock remained poetic, hilariously funny, and full of puns. 'That's the way Alice has always been.' The timing of Brock's passing is poignant. It's long been a Thanksgiving tradition for radio stations across the country to broadcast Guthrie's 18-minute spoken word ramble that made 'Alice' famous."

Doctorow, "The far right grows through 'disaster fantasies': The core of the prepper fantasy: 'What if the world ended in the precise way that made me the most important person?' The ultra-rich fantasize about emerging from luxury bunkers with an army of mercs and thumbdrives full of bitcoin to a world in ruins that they restructure using their 'leadership skills.' The ethnographer Rich Miller spent his career embedding with preppers, eventually writing the canonical book of the fantasies that power their obsessions, Dancing at Armageddon: Survivalism and Chaos in Modern Times. Miller recounts how the disasters that preppers prepare for are the disasters that will call upon their skills, like the water chemist who's devoted his life to preparing to help his community recover from a terrorist attack on its water supply; and who, when pressed, has no theory as to why any terrorist would stage such an attack. Prepping is what happens when you are consumed by the fantasy of a terrible omnicrisis that you can solve, personally. It's an individualistic fantasy, and that makes it inherently neoliberal. Neoliberalism's mind-zap is to convince us all that our only role in society is as an individual ('There is no such thing as society' – M. Thatcher)."

In These Times, "Democratic Elites Blame Everyone But Themselves for Historic Collapse: Understandably, the blame game for who was responsible for this collapse is quickly underway. But, just like with the post 2016 recriminations, the very same people driving the narrative of who is responsible are themselves largely responsible—or at least in and of the same media and political class as those who are. As a result, with rare exception, those being blamed are not Democratic Party elites, liberal media institutions, or the corporate consulting world they operate in—but outside economic forces, transgender people, immigrants, and a host of either powerless minority groups or vague-to-the-point-of-meaningless generalities."

Matt Stoller at The Lever, "How Democrats Learned To Love Losing: The Democratic Party has embraced a cult of powerlessness — and now they're taking down hugely popular antitrust policy along with it. For the last few weeks, I've been mulling over a question that I think will bedevil all of us in the antimonopoly space for years, perhaps decades. Antimonopoly policy is immensely popular, and there hasn't been an administration as aggressive on antitrust in our lifetimes as there was under Joe Biden. Yet, voters soundly rejected his successor, Kamala Harris, and thrashed the party in power. And while antimonopoly politics sits uneasily in the Democratic Party, that is where it sits. Lina Khan, Rohit Chopra, and Jonathan Kanter will be out of power soon. So what happened? And why did Democrats lose so badly? I don't think the answer is simple, nor is it right to characterize the problem as solely one involving the Democratic Party. In 2006, 2008, 2010, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024, voters have voted against the incumbent party. If you look at the recriminations among Democrats, they reveal, unwittingly, a broad theme that I've noticed with roots that go back to the middle of the 20th century. And while these observations are focused on Democrats, people on the right will recognize in their institutions a similar set of challenges."

"U.S. officials who hated 'woke' investing won't stop buying Israel Bonds: Budget-strapped states and municipalities have accrued $1.7 billion dollars-worth of these dubious securities" They insisted it would be irresponsible to get involved with "woke" investments because they owed it to their constituents to make money for them, but that went out the window when they decided Israel was a deserving needy party.

Even the Cato Institute admits it, "Trump's Immigration Policies Made America Less Safe. Here's the Data."

Gratifying take-down of Yggy in Current Affairs, "Matt Yglesias Is Confidently Wrong About Everything: The Biden administration's favorite centrist pundit produces smug pseudo-analysis that cannot be considered serious thought. He ought to be permanently disregarded."

"Wildlife photographer of the year 2024 winners – in pictures"